Gaza: 3 scenarios expected to occur with the outbreak of the Coronavirus

Yehya Abed, a member of the Gaza-based Advisory Committee against Mers-CoV, spoke of three scenarios expected to occur with the outbreak of mers-CoV within the Gaza Strip.

Abed stressed that the biggest threat center in the Gaza Strip is the northern region, saying: "The cases of Gaza and its north compared to the population warn that the threat in the north is three times higher in Gaza City, and that the rest of the casualties in the central and southern areas are promising and that the situation is stable."

"The epidemiological map is that the chains of infection within the community are determined and the procedures that are carried out on the ground are the distribution of cases and the epidemiological map, and the closure of the streets depends on the epidemiological map," Abed told Voice of Al-Aqsa radio.

Abed reviewed three possible scenarios in the sector due to the outbreak of the coronavirus within the community.

He said: "The first scenario, since the first hour of the emergence of the first case was to think of the most difficult scenario to return to the zero situation, which is to control all the cases discovered and the return of Gaza as before, and that achieving this scenario is difficult, especially after the experience of Gaza and the north."

"The second scenario is what happens in the majority of the world's most accepted countries." Sporadic injuries are increased by dozens and then by hundreds and if the instability of the number of cases for a period of time, will open areas less dangerous and then enter the phase of smart closure, which is the opening of all areas and the emergence of any injuries in them again, means closing them as happened in more than one country, and after the phase of intelligent closure is the stage of coexistence with the virus, which is the scenario likely to be applied in the Sector."

He continued: "The third scenario is that cases are rampant in the Gaza Strip and thousands of cases are recorded, and if the lack of full compliance with preventive measures by the public, Gaza will live this scenario."

"The danger is not in the virus, but in the danger that questions the ability of the virus to destroy and that it is weak," Abed said. The virus is infectious, dangerous and has not weakened, and skepticism leads to destruction and is still fierce," he said.

On the work of the medical staff, he said: "Medical staff are two types. His type of work inside the wards is prone to injury and the second works at greatest risk and it moves everywhere and works to take samples from all the injured."

He noted that "the Advisory Committee has submitted its recommendations to the Crisis Committee to reduce the period of quarantine for returnees through the crossings, especially after the announcement of injuries within the community and there is an amendment to the number of tests taken from them."

"Living up is not to be friends with the virus, but to carry out social life activities with the least chance of the virus and to prevent the virus from reaching us, which depends on commitment," he said.

He added: "The process of spacing is either compulsory or voluntary and that compulsory obligation will be voluntarily converted and then the human being is in line with reality."

He noted that "Corona is a virus, not bacteria, as some have spoken, a virus known to people to be infectious and that the genetic map of it has been handed over by China to all laboratories in the world."

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